Melbourne, get ready. The top end of the property market is about to explode and it’s all thanks to developers like Tim Gurner. Gurner’s glamorous projects, where penthouses sell for circa $30 million, are specifically aimed at the uber-wealthy or that modern-day acronym HNWI (high-net-worth individuals).
But don’t assume they are all international high rollers from Casino Royale. Since October last year, Gurner has sold 500 apartments worth $700 million and all have sold to local buyers. “We’re fully local and when I say local, I’m talking within a kilometre of the location of the site,” he says. “At Saint Moritz [in St Kilda] there’s not a single foreign purchaser in there. They’re all from Port Melbourne, Toorak, Brighton and East Melbourne, and in Collingwood [Victoria & Vine] all our high-end buyers there are moving from South Yarra through to the northern suburbs. We made a decision in the business five years ago that we wanted to create products that were very accepted in the local market.”
Sales to international buyers with deep pockets have risen in Australia’s property market over the past 15 years. A peak for offshore Chinese buyers, in particular, was in 2014-15 when their investment doubled, driven by steep wealth growth and a weak yuan. Melbourne’s booming real estate market made it a prime spot to park wealth for capital gain. In that period, China leapt ahead of the US for the first time as Australia’s number one foreign investor, and the dominance continued. Offshore appetite – from all corners of the globe – was surging, but times have changed. “You can go and set up a seminar in Shanghai or Beijing and sell 50 apartments in a weekend, so it’s probably an easier process,” Gurner says. “But we didn’t want to rely on overseas sales. We like our buyers to have seen our display suite, have met me, met our team, know the location and understand our product well.”
Another misconception, Gurner says, is that cashed-up downsizers make up a large portion of his customers. The real demand is from soon-to-be empty-nesters. “The biggest buyer isn’t the downsizer who is 60 to 70 years old, it’s the buyer in their early 50s who might have three kids,” he explains. “One’s 21 and left home, another’s 18 and about to leave home and the other’s 16 and two years off leaving. “They’re looking two to three years ahead saying, ‘We don’t want the big backyard any more, we want the three-bed, three-bath, guest room’ because it’s the perfect transition.